2021 Global Outlook & the Minsky Risk

Ron William will outline a behavioral technical analysis framework, enhanced by market timing, as highlighted by a late-cycle rare exhaustion pattern on the S&P500. This follows warning shot overbought reactions following multiple “irrational exuberance” greed sentiment readings since August 2020. Most notable was the overcrowding of large technology equity positions in the options market, with the put-to-call ratio hitting multiyear extremes based on linear extrapolations of the “V” shaped recovery and omnipotent central bank policy. Ron will also discuss timing models, which predicted the 2020 pandemic-led crash and now signal further asymmetric risk into 2021.
Ron William, CFTe, MSTA
Market Strategist | Educator | Performance Coach

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